Letters: Cause and Relations
Dear friend,
"Do not confuse Causation with Correlation."
A century ago, an iconic sea vessel carrying passengers, The Titanic struck a giant iceberg and began its unfortunate end into the sea, taking the lives of hundreds of people with it.
You know the story, decades after it, it has continued to be on the lips of people.
One thing stood out about this incident. It was alleged that the captain of the ship, confident that the ship was built to top-notch standard made a bold claim that not even God could sink his ship, while that apparently is a figurative statement, many, especially the 'religious' ones felt that God had proved the captain wrong and as a consequence, the ship got sunk.
Case: Ship got sunk.
Cause: It hit a giant iceberg.
Period! It was a very probable and highly possible scenario given the period it happened. A time when monitoring was mainly manual, and it happened!
It is quite difficult to understand and apply this in real life because they seem very similar and tricky, but it requires serious critical thinking to differentiate the two.
If you get this right, it will be hard for religious scammers to deceive you. They won’t even get your your attention, even for a minute.
I urge you to understand this phenomenon. It’s everywhere around you.
That two things follow themselves in a coincidence doesn’t mean that one caused the effect of the other.
If I should hit a child and the child falls and dies, does it mean that I caused the death?
Religious scammers aren’t the only ones who use this. Foolish people in general use it in their poor judgments. That’s how they interpret dreams, misquote people’s action and words, causing trouble.
I have lots of examples, but, they are religious examples, so I won’t say them. I no want whahala like that.
In a nutshell, only evidence proves that the relationship between x and y is mutual in a cause and effect phenomenon, that’s why you were taught mathematics, but you probably ran away from ‘find x’ because to you, it won’t earn you money. You see why AI is bursting everywhere and potentially threatening lawyers? It has the ability to use known knowns to get known unknowns…
Balance your logic and emotional experiences. You are a homo sapiens.
Recommendation: Read on the mental model called Cause and Effect.
Rooting for you and trust you too are rooting for me.
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